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Neither the centre-right nor centre-left bloc would be able to form a government if an election were held today, according to the latest Taxpayers’ Union–Curia poll.
The poll shows both major parties slipping slightly, with New Zealand Labour Party down 0.3 points to 34.1 percent and New Zealand National Party down 0.2 points to 31.3 percent.
Among smaller parties, New Zealand First fell 1.4 points to 10.5 percent, while the Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand rose 2.6 points to 10.3 percent.
Support for the ACT New Zealand dipped 0.3 points to 6.7 percent, and Te Pāti Māori slipped 0.1 points to 2.9 percent.
Hung Parliament on current numbers
Based on the results, both the centre-right and centre-left blocs would hold 60 seats each, leaving neither side able to form a government.
On these numbers, Parliament would be hung.
Support for parties outside Parliament remained low, with The Opportunities Party on 1.4 percent, New Zealand Outdoors & Freedom Party on 1.2 percent, Vision NZ on 0.4 percent, and New Conservatives on 0.1 percent.
Cost of living dominates voter concerns
The cost of living was identified as the most important issue for voters, jumping 7.4 points to 34.9 percent, its highest level since May 2024.
The economy more broadly ranked second at 12.0 percent, followed by health at 9.2 percent.
The survey was conducted by Curia Market Research for the Taxpayers’ Union.
It surveyed 1,000 adult New Zealanders by phone and online between February 1 and 3, 2026, with a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
Polls are designed to track trends in voter preferences and provide a snapshot in time, rather than predict the final election result.
